Tag: password guessing

  • AI Flunks Security Test: LLMs are Ineffective at Guessing Passwords from Personal Data

    Australian researchers have tested whether large language models can infer passwords from personal information — and found that, for now, they are almost entirely ineffectual. In a new study, the team at the Future Data Minds Research Lab demonstrated that popular open-source LLMs perform dramatically worse than classical password-cracking tools and remain far better suited to generating text and code than conducting real-world account breaches.

    At the heart of the experiment lies an idea that has circulated for years: if AI can analyze text and “understand” context, then perhaps it could generate plausible passwords based on a person’s data — combining a name, date of birth, favorite sport, or hobby into a believable list of options. Were this reliable, it could become a dangerous asset in the hands of attackers.

    To test the hypothesis, the researchers first built synthetic profiles of fictional users. Each profile contained structured attributes: name, birthdate, interests, hobbies, and more. Three models — TinyLLaMA, Falcon-RW-1B, and Flan-T5 — were then asked to generate lists of passwords that such a user might reasonably choose for their accounts.

    The team evaluated accuracy using industry-standard metrics: Hit@1, Hit@5, and Hit@10 — measures of how often the correct password appears first, within the top five, or within the top ten model outputs. They tested performance both on plaintext passwords and their SHA-256 hashes. The results were unequivocal: across all scenarios, accuracy never exceeded 1.5% at Hit@10. In other words, even among the model’s ten “best guesses,” the correct password almost never appeared. By contrast, modern GPU-based cracking methods can breach many passwords in seconds using traditional techniques.

    To establish a baseline, the researchers also ran classical cracking tools — rule-based and combinatorial methods widely used in specialized utilities. These conventional approaches delivered dramatically higher success rates, outperforming LLMs across every major indicator. The conclusion is straightforward: established, purpose-built algorithms remain vastly superior at password guessing than today’s fashionable general-purpose models.

    The authors also sought to understand the reasons behind this gap. Their analysis suggests that modern LLMs struggle to generalize learned password patterns to new, concrete contexts and are poor at explicitly “recalling” specific examples from their training data. Effective password inference would require specialized fine-tuning on real password leaks and targeted optimization — capabilities these general models currently lack.

    In the end, the researchers draw a critical cybersecurity conclusion: in their present form, LLMs are not effective password-guessing tools and pose little meaningful threat to account security in this narrow domain. At the same time, the study opens avenues for further research — from safer approaches to password modeling to systems that improve account protection by better understanding attack strategies and preventing unauthorized access to sensitive data.

    The authors emphasize that their experiment examined only three models and does not claim to represent the entire landscape of LLMs. Yet even now it reveals a significant limitation of these systems in adversarial scenarios. Future studies may enlarge the pool of tested models and develop new defensive methods grounded in understanding what AI still performs poorly — especially when it comes to your passwords.

  • Alarming Report: The Simple Attack That’s Breaching Half of Corporate Networks

    Amid the escalating wave of cyberthreats—particularly from advanced threat groups—one of the most dangerous yet persistently underestimated attack vectors remains almost unchanged: the compromise of user accounts through password guessing. According to the newly published Blue Report 2025 by Picus Security, the use of valid credentials continues to provide attackers with the most reliable pathway into corporate networks.

    The report, based on 160 million simulated attacks conducted across IT infrastructures worldwide using Picus Security’s platform, highlights a troubling surge in successful password-guessing intrusions during the first half of 2025. While last year such attacks succeeded in 25% of attempts, this year the success rate has risen to 46%. This alarming growth is attributed to weak passwords, outdated hashing algorithms, and the absence of fundamental security controls.

    Despite widespread awareness of the risks, many organizations still rely on insecure password storage practices, such as using algorithms without proper salting or neglecting multifactor authentication entirely. Internal services have proven especially vulnerable, as their security controls are often far weaker than those of external-facing systems. The study revealed that in 46% of examined environments, at least one password hash was successfully cracked and restored to plaintext.

    Such weaknesses enable not only initial access but also stealthy lateral movement within networks. Armed with legitimate credentials, attackers can bypass traditional defenses, escalate privileges, and gain access to sensitive data. The report stresses that these actions often remain undetected, allowing adversaries to persist within systems for extended periods, exfiltrate information, and prepare further attacks.

    The analysis highlights in particular the MITRE ATT&CK technique T1078 — Valid Accounts, which proved to be the most frequently exploited, with a 98% success rate. In practice, this means that once an attacker acquires valid credentials—regardless of how—they can almost inevitably advance deeper into the network.

    Given this stark reality, experts emphasize the necessity of comprehensive defense strategies: strict password policies, regular key rotation, and universal enforcement of multifactor authentication. Organizations must also abandon legacy hashing algorithms in favor of modern cryptographic standards, while deploying behavioral analytics and attack simulation tools to continuously validate the effectiveness of their defenses.

    Equally critical is the monitoring of outbound traffic and the deployment of robust data loss prevention (DLP) systems. Without effective oversight of information flow both inside and beyond the network perimeter, detecting malicious activity in time becomes nearly impossible.

    In conclusion, the report underscores that modern attacks increasingly masquerade as legitimate activity. As such, organizations must move beyond strengthening perimeter defenses and instead rethink access management and identity governance. The absence of advanced authentication and monitoring mechanisms creates ideal conditions for adversaries to maintain a quiet yet devastating foothold within corporate networks.