TSMC’s major customers cut orders one after another

The semiconductor industry has been hit by a recent downturn in the consumer market, with declining sales of graphics cards, smartphones, and storage devices, as well as high inventory levels. TSMC was also inevitably affected, with constant reports of customers delaying or cutting orders. As a leading company at the top of the semiconductor supply chain, TSMC is likely to fall too.

TSMC chip supply shortage

According to relevant media reports, TSMC’s 3nm orders were temporarily canceled by customers, resulting in a lower production capacity of the N3 process recently mass-produced than the original plan. It is estimated that there will be a significant increase in the second-generation N3E process in the second half of next year. This directly affects TSMC’s order volume on its supply chain. It is rumored that orders have been cut by 40% to 50%, covering wafers, key consumables, equipment, and other aspects, affecting all aspects of the entire semiconductor supply chain.

According to industry insiders, in fact, since the end of the third quarter of this year, TSMC’s order volume has begun to weaken, and the order volume in the fourth quarter and next year is in a state of continuous decline. This will impact front-end production and back-end packaging and testing. TSMC originally planned to spend between $40 billion and $44 billion in capital expenditure in 2022, but it was lowered to $36 billion in the face of changes in market demand. This is the second time TSMC has lowered its capital expenditure target this year.

Even Apple, TSMC’s largest customer, has begun to sell fewer products. It is rumored that orders for the A15 Bionic and A16 Bionic have been cut significantly, and the sales targets for the iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max have been lowered.

Android smartphones are facing a more severe test. It is rumored that MediaTek’s orders for mobile phone chips next year will decrease by 20% compared with this year.